Russian market - Winter crops - Fork Cast

It is projected that grain harvest in Russia will exceed 139.5 million tons by 2025, with a yield reaching 29 quintals per hectare. The implementation of modern technologies and government support contribute to increasing crop yields without expanding farmland.

In the north of Siberia, the Far East, and the Urals, cold weather down to minus 30 degrees is expected, while in the south of Western Siberia there will be high temperatures. It will be especially cold in Taymyr and Chukotka. In other regions, temperatures will return to around zero.

The Grain Association has selected 13 countries for direct supplies of Russian grain products without intermediaries. The decision was made on October 11, 2024.

Partners of the association bear responsibility only in case of a long-term agreement.

Farmers in Perm region faced a poor harvest due to bad weather conditions: a cold spring and rainy summer resulted in a 4-fold decrease in crop yield compared to the previous year. Drought and rains affected the quality of seeds, which impacted the harvest of grains and vegetables. Large farms will receive support, while small ones are forced to reduce production.

In Khakassia, harvesting has been suspended on 7.5 thousand hectares due to heavy snowfall. Unfavorable weather forecast has led to crop losses, especially in the Ordzhonikidzevsky district. Harvesting will resume after the snow melts. The yield of cereals has decreased by 5-6 c/ha, with plans to harvest 125 thousand tons of grain. 17.5 thousand tons will be used for seeds.

In 2024, the grain exports through the ports of Krasnodar Krai reached 41 million tons. Wheat accounted for 83%, barley - 10%. Russian grain was exported to 60+ countries, including Gambia, Djibouti, Ethiopia, China, Sri Lanka.

The ports of Krasnodar Krai play a key role in exports.

Russia is planning to start exporting semolina and rye flour to China, as reported by the Rosselkhoznadzor. It is expected that the agreement on protocols with Chinese partners will allow the exports to begin.

Meanwhile, an important issue is the approval for the export of winter wheat and barley to the Chinese market.

The Ministry of Agriculture of Russia has endorsed the idea of Russian grain exporters selling directly for export, bypassing traders from third countries.

There are plans to establish a self-regulatory body in the grain market.

In 2024, flour exports from Russia reached 980 thousand tons, approaching the level for the entire 2023. Significant growth is also observed in bran and cereals. The main export product is grain. Traditional buyers are located in the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. 32% of grain exports are accounted for by Middle Eastern countries.

In the regions of the Central-Black Earth zone, a lack of precipitation is expected, which will have a negative impact on winter crops. Precipitation in these regions has been insignificant, insufficient to compensate for the lack of moisture. The forecast does not yet predict significant rainfall, causing concern among specialists.

The acting deputy prime minister of Bashkortostan predicts a grain harvest at the level of 3.1 million tons due to soil overmoistening. Over 70 million rubles have been compensated to the affected, with the damage from overmoistening estimated at 3 billion rubles. A total of 447.5 thousand hectares of crops have been affected.

In Russia this year, there are problems with sowing winter crops due to drought. In some regions, there has been no rain since April, which complicates the work. The Minister of Agriculture is concerned about the impact of biotechnologies on the climate, emphasizing the need to study this issue.