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In its latest assessment, the International Grains Council (IGC) forecasts that in the marketing year 2025/26, the global area devoted to rapeseed cultivation will reach 44.1 million hectares. This forecast exceeds the current level by 1.4% and will be the largest in history.
Following low yields that significantly reduced production in the EU in the 2024/25 season, farmers in the Union are expected to increase the area allocated to rapeseed by almost 4%, reaching 6 million hectares. The attractive price level is crucial for this.
The prospects for rapeseed cultivation in the leading exporting countries remain unclear. In India, sowing and germination conditions in the important agricultural region of Rajasthan are characterized by drought, and the sown area has decreased by 7.2%, reaching 3.12 million hectares. Sowing in Canada and Australia will begin in a few months, so it is too early to make forecasts. It is currently expected that the cultivation areas in both regions will increase, provided there is a stable demand. Possible increase in cultivation areas by 8.3% is also forecasted in the United States.
According to a study by Agrarmarkt Informations-Gesellschaft (mbH), the growing demand in the fuel sector, driven by national legislation aimed at promoting biofuel in automotive and aviation transport, is a decisive factor for expanding the area under rapeseed cultivation. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) approved the use of rapeseed oil as feedstock for biofuel production in mid-2024. This decision led to a sharp increase in imports and, consequently, to an expansion of areas allocated to oilseed crops.
Previously, analysts from the Foreign Agricultural Service of the U.S. Department of Agriculture (FAS USDA) also predicted an increase in rapeseed production in China.
