On Monday, the Oct NY World Sugar #11 Index closed up +0.09 (+0.34%) and the Oct London White Sugar #5 Index closed up +6.40 (+0.88%). This increase in sugar prices was partly caused by the weakening dollar, which in turn raised the prices of most goods, Barchart writes.
Sugar prices have risen over the past couple of weeks due to fears of a decline in global production. NY Sugar hit a 4.5-month high last Friday, and London Sugar set a 12-year record last Tuesday. Alvean, the world's largest sugar trader, forecast a sugar deficit of -5.4 million tonnes for 2023/24.
The situation is aggravated by the forecast for Thailand, the second largest exporter of sugar. Thai Sugar Millers Corp expects sugar production to fall by 18% in the 2023/24 season, to 9 million tonnes, due to severe drought.
Additionally, WTI Crude Oil (CLV23) hit a 9.75-month high on Monday. This could encourage sugar producers to switch to ethanol production, which would further reduce the supply of sugar to the global market.