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Experts from World Weather Inc. expect that this year The natural El Niño phenomenon will improve conditions for durum wheat production in North Africa and Spain during the critical growing season for grain development - from February to April, SaskToday reports.
In particular, the president of World Weather Inc. Drew Lerner said El Niño-induced above-normal air temperatures in the North Atlantic Ocean and Mediterranean Sea will likely help maintain adequate soil moisture during the winter.
In addition, El Niño tends to push cooler air south across Europe, which will increase the moisture supply from warm Mediterranean waters to North Africa and Spain.
At the same time, D. Lerner did not rule out the persistence of dry weather conditions at the beginning of the sowing campaign for soft wheat and durum wheat, which begins in mid-October and will last until the beginning of January. Rains, in his opinion, may not come until late November or December, because this winter the cool weather in the Northern Hemisphere will develop more slowly than usual.
At the same time, it is reported that, according to a recent USDA report, quite severe drought remains in Algeria, where wheat sowing is just beginning. In this regard, total wheat production in Algeria is forecast to remain at last year's level at around 2.7 million tonnes, while total wheat imports are forecast at 8.7 million tonnes, up 7% from 2023/24 MG.
