Monitoring - Fork Cast

On the domestic wheat market, prices have increased: by 300 rubles in the southern regions, by 100 rubles in the central region, by 150 rubles in the Volga region, and by 250 rubles in Siberia.

The export of Russian wheat in October has dropped to 215-217 dollars FOB due to the increase in prices for other types of wheat. The wheat export forecast is reduced to 5.35 million tons in September, with an expected 4.4-4.8 million tons in October.

It is forecasted that the buckwheat crop will decrease this year, while the rice crop will increase. Weather conditions impact production. Specialists anticipate an adequate amount of produce for consumers. Overall, a successful harvest is projected, despite some challenges, especially in Altai.

The President of the Republic of ZS expressed concern about the decrease in grain yields due to the low technological level of the industry. Investments in grain cultivation are decreasing, which has a negative impact on productivity. However, he does not rule out an increase in global grain prices in the near future.

Experts note an acceleration in the growth of prices for feed additives in Russia. Prices for amino acids have increased by up to 14%, for vitamins - by up to 37%. According to the CEO of Feedlot, this situation is associated with global trends.

Meanwhile, prices in China remain stable. In Russia, the price for concentrates and feed mixtures in August was 26.6 thousand rubles per ton, which is 22.3% lower than in July.

In 2023/24, Russia exported 7.2 million tons of vegetable oils: 5.2 million tons of sunflower oil, 1.2 million tons of rapeseed oil, and 757 tons of soybean oil. Russia holds the third place in the global market, following Indonesia and Malaysia. In 2024/25, the export of oils will decrease due to a reduction in crop yield.

Prices in Russia continue to rise: since the beginning of the year - by 5.46%, annual inflation - 8.74%. A decrease in prices for fruits, vegetables, and some food products has been noted. Inflation expectations have decreased: Russians expect a price increase of 12.5%. The Ministry of Economic Development predicts a slowdown in inflation growth to 8.1% by the end of September. The Central Bank raised the key rate to 19% to stabilize prices.

The export of oilseeds decreased by a third, amounting to 1.93 million tons. The export of oils increased by 10%, mainly sunflower and soybean oils. Russian producers have established a solid foundation for exports, but they are facing challenges, including the European Union's duties on imports from Russia.

Prices for exported Russian wheat have remained almost unchanged. The global market has increased by 15%, while the price for Russian wheat has remained stable at $216-218 per ton. Growth in demand and prices for wheat is expected due to a reduction in the harvest.

Due to the increase in income levels among the population in Russia, meat consumption is on the rise despite the changing weather conditions.

The main reasons for this trend are the ability to purchase more expensive types of meat and an increase in production. Investments in the industry are necessary to sustain the demand for meat.

In Russia this year, more sugar beets were harvested than last year, but the harvest volume decreased due to dry weather. The amount of harvest decreased in the South and in the Center due to root rots. Kursk region faced problems due to military actions. There is a possibility of excess molasses at factories due to difficulties in its sale last season.

32 thousand hectares of potatoes have already been harvested out of 282 thousand hectares of fields. The harvest as of August 26 is 932 thousand tons, which is 140 thousand tons more than last year. Bryansk region is in the lead. The weather is favorable, but there are issues with personnel and seeds. The forecast for the harvest is 7.3 million tons.

In August, wheat exports from Russia reached 5.6 million tons, surpassing the previous record. Egypt became the largest buyer. Prices for rail delivery decreased, but increased for water transportation. Novosibirsk region declared a state of emergency due to unfavorable weather conditions.